Friday, December 9, 2016

Tax receipts, negative cash flow, fiscal stimulus November 2016


Calendar your to date November 30, 2016.  I knew they would hit a trillion dollars of negative cash flow.

Cumulative Tax Receipts
Calendar year to date
Oct
Nov
Dec
2016
2,362,167
2,553,759
2015
2,304,985
2,497,852
2,803,236
2014
2,176,054
2,353,864
2,660,454
2013
2,018,433
2,189,716
2,456,383
2012
1,827,437
1,979,817
2,233,516
2011
1,714,698
1,860,368
2,082,137


Percent tax receipt growth year to year
of cumulative tax receipts
2016
2.5%
2.2%
2015
5.9%
6.1%
5.4%
2014
7.8%
7.5%
8.3%
2013
10.5%
10.6%
10.0%
2012
6.6%
6.4%
7.3%

Growth in cumulative tax receipts in 2016 is only 2.2% higher than in 2015.  This is a proxy for the economy.

Cumulative Negative Cash Flow in dollars
Calendar year to date
      Oct
      Nov
      Dec
2016
883,279
1,025,628
2015
na
685,588
780,444
2014
585,185
653,573
789,467
2013
723,385
784,419
919,238
2012
1,038,527
1,146,605
1,209,786
2011
968,491
1,085,280
1,197,721


FISCAL STIMULUS
Cumulative Outflow percent of tax receipts
Calendar year to date
     Oct
Nov
Dec
2016
137%
140%
2015
na
127%
128%
2014
127%
128%
130%
2013
136%
136%
137%
2012
157%
158%
154%
2011
157%
158%
158%

Got that?  They spent 40% more than they took in.


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